CCMC CME Scoreboard
Prediction for CME (2026-03-06T04:09:00-CME-001)
CME Observed Time: 2026-03-06T04:09ZDONKI Link: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/44955/-1
CME Note: CME observed to the SE in SOHO LASCO C2/C3, GOES CCOR-1, and STEREO A COR2. A GOES CCOR-1 eclipse briefly obscures early frames of the CME, and the LASCO C3 pylon obscures analysis in running difference imagery. The source is a small filament eruption centered around S25E30 starting around 2026-03-06T02:32Z in GOES SUVI 304, also observed as some brightening and field line movement in GOES SUVI 171/195/284/304 and some dimming in GOES SUVI 171/195.
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2026-03-10T04:00Z (-7.0h, +7.0h)
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 2.0 - 3.0
Prediction Method: WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NASA M2M)
Prediction Method Note:
https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/WSA-ENLIL/44957/1 Model Inputs: 2026-03-06T04:09:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=-37.0, Lat.=-35.0, Speed=380.0, HalfAngle=28.0, Time21.5=2026-03-06T12:49Z Model Output: Earth Impact: Earth Shock Arrival Time = 2026-03-10T04:00Z (+- 7 hours) (kp)90=2 (kp)180=3 Other Location(s) Impact: Inner Planets Link = https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20260306_124900_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif Inner Planets Link = https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20260306_124900_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif Inner Planets Link = https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20260306_124900_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif Inner Planets Link = https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20260306_124900_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif Timelines Link = https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20260306_124900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif Timelines Link = https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20260306_124900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Kp_timeline.gif Timelines Link = https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20260306_124900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif Timelines Link = https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20260306_124900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Bepi_timeline.gif Timelines Link = https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20260306_124900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Mars_timeline.gif Timelines Link = https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20260306_124900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Merc_timeline.gif Timelines Link = https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20260306_124900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_SolO_timeline.gif Timelines Link = https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20260306_124900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Juice_timeline.gif Timelines Link = https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20260306_124900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Venus_timeline.gif Timelines Link = https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20260306_124900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Osiris_timeline.gif Timelines Link = https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20260306_124900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Psyche_timeline.gifLead Time: 86.53 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Tony Iampietro (M2M SWAO) on 2026-03-06T13:28Z
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